AND THE PUBLIC INTEREST

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1 AND THE PUBLIC INTEREST
Planning, evaluation AND THE PUBLIC INTEREST

2 EP 2019 Alexander Chap 10

3 ANALISIS KEBIJAKAN SUSTAINABILITY ISU:
KOMPROMI KESEIMBANGAN ANTAR DIMENSI PERAN POLICY MAKER METODE ANALISIS KEBIJAKAN

4 KERANGKA EVALUASI The flag model STEP 0 Perumusan masalah STEP 4
Critical threshold STEP 2 Pengukuran Dampak STEP 1 Indikator Keberlanjutan

5 STEP 0: PERUMUSAN MASALAH  design of complex regional system
INDIKATOR KEBERLANJUTAN Indikator dalam FLAG MODEL: (--) (-) (+/-) (+) (++)

6 STEP 2: PENGUKURAN DAMPAK: membuat matrik nilai ambang/threshold
Kriteria utama Sub kriteria CTV min CTV CTV maks Economic Employment primary sector +/- - -- Employment secondary sector Employment tertiary sector Employment tourism Employment government sector Involuntary unemployment Total income Income distribution Social Shortage of housing Dst...

7 STEP 3: CRITICAL THRESHOLD (CTV)
CTV min CTV CTV max A B 100 C D SEGMEN A GREEN TIDAK PERLU PERHATIAN KHUSUS SEGMEN B KUNING PERLU PERHATIAN EKSTRA SEGMEN C MERAH KECENDERUNGAN BERLAWANAN SEGMENT D HITAM HENTIKAN PERTUMBUHANNYA MULTI CRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS

8 Membuat matrik dampak + +/- - -- ++ Kriteria utama Sub kriteria
Skenario A B C Economic Employment primary sector (+) + +/- Employment secondary sector (+) Employment tertiary sector (+) Employment tourism (+) - Employment government sector (+) Involuntary unemployment (+) -- Total income (+) ++ Income distribution (+) Social Shortage of housing (-) Dst...

9 STEP 4: EVALUASI Deskripsi masing masing skenario (A, B, dan C)
Proses penetapan skenario terbaik dari impact yang terbaik

10 EP 2019 Martland chap 11

11 Strategi untuk mengatasi permasalahan
Identifikasi kebutuhan dan tujuan Identifikasi alternatif Dealing with uncertainty Mengevaluasi alternatif Studi kasus

12 Langkah dalam evaluasi proyek:
Define the problem Develop objective Generate alternative Evaluate alternative Select the best approach Refine the best approach Approve project

13 Generating alternatives:
STEP 1. STEP 2. Needs Desires Objectives: Quantitative qualitative Generating alternatives: Brainstorming Systematic identification of options Public input Best practices and expert opinion

14 Generating alternatives:
STEP 3. Generating alternatives: Brainstorming: dua cara dalam melakukan grup diskusi (fgd) Skills and interests role 2. Sistematic identification of options : contoh

15 DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY
sn DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY Sensitivity Analysis = variables, base case, values for sensitivity analysis variable Base case Values for sensitivity analysis Size of the building 50 stories 40, 45, 50, 55, 60 Construction cost $2 billion $1.9, $2, $2.1, $2.2 billion DST

16 DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY
s DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY 2. Use of Scenarios, langkah menetapkan skenario= Identify the focal issue or decision. Identify key local forces that will influence the success or failure of the decision. Identify key external forces. Rank by importance and uncertainty. Select scenarios defined by drivers. Flesh out the scenarios. Determine the implications of each scenario. Identify and monitor leading indicators.

17 EVALUATING THE ALTERNATIVES:
STEP 4. EVALUATING THE ALTERNATIVES: comparing alternatives, identifying the strengths and weaknesses of various aspects of each alternative, and selecting the alternatives that deserve further study.

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