In the 3 rd International Symposium on Earthquake and Disaster Mitigation (ISEDM) Yogyakarta, 17-18 December 2013 Validation of “Joko Tingkir” in the Real.

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1 In the 3 rd International Symposium on Earthquake and Disaster Mitigation (ISEDM) Yogyakarta, 17-18 December 2013 Validation of “Joko Tingkir” in the Real Time Tsunami Warning System: A Preliminary Result Masturyono, Thomas Hardy, Madlazim, and Karyono Presented by : MASTURYONO BMKG

2 BACKGROUND • The InaTEWS has been in operation since 2008  Warning : Potential Tsunami Earthquake Information : No Potential Tsunami • Criteria : Magnitude > 7.0 ; Depth < 100 km; Located : in the sea • Magnitude is not good indicator for Tsunami-genic Earthquake. • Madlazim developed an aplication to evaluate the earthquake generating Tsunami by analizing the waveform  Joko Tingkir

3 BLOCK DIAGRAM OF INA-TEWS FIELD SENSOR ; 1.SEISMIC 2.SEA LEVEL SEISCOMP-3 : 1.AQUISITION 2.DATA PROCESSING 3.ANALIZING 4.ARCHIVING DISSEMINATION SYSTEM

4 FLOW CHART OF THE TSUNAMI WARNING SEISMIC STATIONS SEISCOMP-3 EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION TSUNAMI WARNING DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM WARNING SEGMENT INTERFACE INSTITUTIONS

5 OUTPUT SEISCOMP-3 SEISCOMP-3 is an automatic system to determine the parameters of an earthquake and the tsunami warning. Input : waveform data stream from the stations Output : 1. Earthquake parameter (Origin time, Lat, Lon, Depth and the Magnitude) 2. Map showing the location of the earthquake 3. Warning (potential or NOT potential generating tsunami)

6 WARNING OR INFORMATION IF : NOT POTENTIAL GENERATING TSUNAMI then EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION will be disseminated (Mag, OT, Lat, Lon, Depth, distance from a reference point) IF : POTENTIAL GENERATING TSUNAMI then 1. TRIGER DSS to produce the warning segment 2. Collect and update the sea level monitoring

7 “JOKO TINGKIR” Madlazim : A software to calculate parameters as indicator of earthquake generating tsunami. The Parameters are : Tdur (Rupture duration), Td (Time Dominant), T50EX, and the Products (Tdur*Td, T50EX*Td) Tdur is associate/equivalent with the length of the rupture zone Td is associated/equivalent with the width of the rupture zone T50EX is associate/equivalent with the length of the rupture zone (better estimate than Tdur) The products are associate with the area of the rupture zone  Strength Scale of the EQ source

8 JOKO TINGKIR FLOW CHART START READING THE WAVEFORM DATA PICKING P WAVE BAND PASS FILTER 5-20 Hz Calculate : Tdom,Td, T50EX, Td*Td, Td*T50EX Test The Criteria

9 THE PARAMETERS • Td (Dominant Period) is the peak of time domain ( τ c ) ( τ c ) = 2 π ʃ ʋ 2 (t) dt / ʃ ὐ 2 (t) dt • T50EX (T50 Exceeding) is the ratio between the Rms of the amplitude rupture duration for 50-60 seconds and the Rms of those for 0-25 seconds (Wu and Kanamori, 2005;Lomax and Michelini, 2011)

10 CALCULATION OF THE PARAMETERS • T(dur), T(dom) and T50EX are calculated for the first minute of P wave recorded in the station. • Calculation using a aplication software developed using BASH programing language in the Linux • Compilation of the seismogram is using SeisGram2K • Calculation is done in the off line mode

11 TEST RESULT FOR THE LARGER EARTHQUAKES (OFF LINE RUNNING) Mw (Range) NumberTdT50EXTd*T50EX 6.5 – 6.955/5 7.0 – 7.498/9 7.5 – 7.91412/14 13/14 > 8.054/55/5 TOTAL33 29/33 88 % 30/33 91 % 31/33 94 %

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14 DESIGN IMPLEMENTATION InaTEWS Input Managemen Unit DISPLAY 1.Location Map 2.EQ Parameter 3.Tsunami Indicator 4.Warning Joko Tingkir Calculate : Tdom,Td, T50EX, Td*Td, Td*T50EX Test The Criteria TRIGER Auto Loc

15 CRITERIA OF THE POTENTIAL TSUNAMI ParametersCriteria YesNo Rupture Dur (Tdur)> 65 sv T Dominan (Tdom)> 10 sv T50EX> 1 sv (Tdur * T dom)  650v (Tdom * T50EX)>10v SumaryPotential Generating Tsunami

16 TIME TABLE • Using automatic location within 3 minutes or after 30 station recorded the event • Total time to import the data, reading the waveform, picking the P phase and calculating the parameter is about 1 minute • The total time needed is about 4 minutes

17 Display the Warning based on Tdur, Td and T50Ex

18 Display input parameter and arrival station

19 TEST RESULT FOR SMALLER EARTHQUAKES (ON LINE RUNNING) Number Event : 171 Range magnitude : 5.0 – 7.2 Criteria : Td*T50Ex > 10 and Td*Tdur > 650 Result : Consistent : 96.5 % ; Parameter below criteria, Observation: No Tsunami Inconsistent : 3.5 % : Parameter fulfil the criteria, Observation : the No Tsunami

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23 SUMMARY • “JOKO TINGKIR” has been implemented in the real time data flow within the InaTEWS Network for validation purpose • Preliminary result for showing that 96.5 % of 171 event tested are consistent with the criteria set for the validation test. • The criteria used in this validation test are Td*T50Ex > 10 and Td*Tdur > 650 for earthquake generating tsunami. • The total time used to get the result is about 4 minutes, if the Trigger taken from automatic location from InaTEWS

24 Thank You and TERIMA KASIH

25 No.Tanggal Region Jumlah Stasiun Mag Lat (S) Lon € Dept h Parameter Lama Perhitungan (s) Warning Area Lokas i Tdur (65) Td (10) T50Ex (1) Td*Tdur (650) Td*T50Ex (10) 11/3/2013HalmaheraLaut125.41.47127.43991.42.070.791891.6430 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 21/3/2013HalmaheraLaut651.78127.31050.130.760.27380.226 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 31/6/2013HalmaheraLaut125.31.15127.414250.190.791.12390.8830 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 41/12/2013Near North Coast of IrianLaut125.11.83139.13361.670.851.44511.2233 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 51/12/2013SeramLaut125.32.87129.83467.230.960.65640.6230 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 61/17/2013Mindanao, PhilippinesLaut1255.86124.829137.660.560.77760.4339 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 71/18/2013Banda SeaLaut125.16.77130.68578.060.470.52360.2437 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 81/20/2013Banda SeaLaut1256.5613018559.930.70.78410.5529 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 91/21/2013Southern Molucca SeaLaut1250.28124.71051.930.51.05250.5336 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 101/22/2013Irian Jaya RagionLaut125.54.29134.811118.531.590.63188130 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 111/22/2013Northern SumatraDarat125.94.7795.9910144.511.820.932631.6935 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 121/23/2013SeramLaut1252.86130.22743.740.810.5340.434 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 131/24/2013Irian Jaya, IndonesiaDarat125.23.38136.49861.710.560.73340.4134 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 141/27/2013Philippines Islands RegionLaut305.15.54127.110747.360.860.29400.2560 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 151/27/2013Savu SeaLaut3059.741225344.460.940.42410.3960 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 161/31/2013Southern Sumatra, IndonesiaLaut285.14.57102.535135.381.030.271390.2766 Tidak berpotensi tsunami 172/2/2013JavaLaut305.3-7.23 105.2 4 1095.140.940.58900.5561 tidak berpotensi tsunami 182/2/2013Banda SeaLaut165-6.37 129.9 1 10103.81.130.791160.8933 tidak berpotensi tsunami 194/2/2013Banda SeaLaut3055.51 131.0 5 8263.810.940.55590.5260 tidak berpotensi tsunami 206/2/2013Irian Jaya RegionLaut205.14.4 134.8 4 2780.731.50.441200.6650 tidak berpotensi tsunami

26 217/2/2013Southern SumatraLaut305.2-1.5100.21086.671.091.05931.1470 tidak berpotensi tsunami 227/2/2013Northern SumatraDarat195.41.4598.7979106.310.830.95880.7836 tidak berpotensi tsunami 2310/2/2013Banda SeaLaut305.1-4.26 131.2 3 5774.141.171.85862.1669 tidak berpotensi tsunami 2413/2/2013Tanimbar IslandsLaut305.76.85 131.4 8 64104.110.870.53900.4669 tidak berpotensi tsunami 2513/2/2013Malay PeninsulaDarat1054.2100.710234.860.90.122100.128 tidak berpotensi tsunami 2613/2/2013SeramLaut305.6-2.93130.22784.211.360.471140.6473 tidak berpotensi tsunami 2713/2/2013Southern SumatraLaut305.23.1 101.1 6 5863.481.040.71650.7366 tidak berpotensi tsunami 2814/2/2013Near North Coast of Irian JayaLaut305.11.87 139.1 4 30103.232.230.512291.1355 tidak berpotensi tsunami 2914/2/2013Banda SeaLaut305-7.07 129.7 5 30120.351.090.861310.9470 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3014/2/2013Irian Jaya RegionDarat305.1-4.29135.33097.130.910.29880.2661 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3116/2/2013Mindanao, PhilippinesLaut3065.72 125.8 6 30157.611.581.282482.0250 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3217/2/2013Banda SeaLaut305.2-6.3 130.3 5 139107.010.740.25790.1860 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3319/2/2013Sunda Strait, IndonesiaLaut305.1-6.72 104.3 2 59106.542.120.792241.6771 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3422/2/2013Tanimbar IslandsLaut305-6.94 132.3 2 31109.770.570.33620.1968 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3523/2/2013Timor RegionLaut305.9-8.67 127.4 7 34118.441.970.72321.3734 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3623/2/2013Timor RegionLaut305.3-8.83127.6700000033 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3724/2/2013Timor RegionLaut305.2-8.77 127.5 2 400000034 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3824/2/2013Timor SeaLaut305-7.66 128.7 6 1580000035 tidak berpotensi tsunami 3925/2/2013Banda SeaLaut215-6.78 129.8 9 1740000027 tidak berpotensi tsunami 402/3/2013Phillipines Islands RegionLaut305.15.9 127.2 2 3894.220.860.35810.367 tidak berpotensi tsunami No.Tanggal Region Jumlah Stasiun Ma g Lat (S) Lon € Dept h Parameter Lama Perhitungan (s) Warning Area Lokas i Tdur (65) Td (10) T50Ex (1) Td*Tdur (650) Td*T50Ex (10)

27 No.Tanggal Region Jumlah Stasiun Ma g Lat (S) Lon € Dept h Parameter Lama Perhitungan (s) Warning Area Lokas i Tdur (65) Td (10) T50Ex (1) Td*Tdur (650) Td*T50Ex (10) 413/3/2013 JavaLaut195-8.88108.510193.7911.090.4421424.8849 tidak berpotensi tsunami 423/3/2013 Off west Coast of Northern Sumatra Laut295.12.7195.5510136.411.520.692071.0570 tidak berpotensi tsunami 434/3/2013SeramLaut145-3.44127.410136.190.950.161290.1542 tidak berpotensi tsunami 445/3/2013Southern SumatraDarat3055.54104.7100000032 tidak berpotensi tsunami 458/3/2013Banda SeaLaut305.2-5.33 125.8 4 1854.351.420.36770.5163 tidak berpotensi tsunami 4618/3/2013Banda SeaLaut305.2-6.28130.984149.310.580.35870.265 tidak berpotensi tsunami 4719/3/2013Timor RegionLaut95.3-8.24127.7733.841.40.4240.5927 tidak berpotensi tsunami 4826/3/2013Sumba RegionDarat305.39.6120.36878.060.820.38640.3166 tidak berpotensi tsunami 492/4/2013Banda SeaLaut305.1-7.58128.515567.341.091.1731.269 tidak berpotensi tsunami 50 3/4/2013Irian JayaDarat3052.49138.865114.589.420.5410745.0848 tidak berpotensi tsunami 516/4/2013Northern SumatraLaut305.10.2198.7252115.950.830.45950.3773 tidak berpotensi tsunami 526/4/2013Irian JayaDarat307.23.48138.56497.685.021.74878.5468 tidak berpotensi tsunami 536/4/2013Irian JayaDarat3053.43138.56056.353.330.461861.5357 tidak berpotensi tsunami 546/4/2013HalmaheraLaut2551.76127.312544.323.020.61331.8144 tidak berpotensi tsunami 556/4/2013Irian JayaDarat305.13.55138.56067.841.770.41180.748 tidak berpotensi tsunami 569/4/2013JavaLaut305.2-7.29105.94814.750.82011015 tidak berpotensi tsunami 5712/4/2013Talaud IslandsLaut305.24.35127.610955.951.040.33570.3461 tidak berpotensi tsunami 5814/4/2013Northern Molucca SeaLaut45.21.53126.41041.610.640.06260.0321 tidak berpotensi tsunami 5916/4/2013Northern Molucca SeaLaut305.30.84 125.2 1 8257.480.650.69370.4561 tidak berpotensi tsunami 6017/4/2013Irian JayaDarat305.6-2.81 138.7 4 48106.631.391.231471.7175 tidak berpotensi tsunami

28 6113/5/2013Northern Molucca Sea Laut305.20.66125.35796.120.830.63800.5268 tidak berpotensi tsunami 62 20/5/2013Philippine Islands RegionLaut3055.8112711355.041.230.54680.6660 tidak berpotensi tsunami 63 21/5/2013HalmaheraLaut3050.44 127.0 7107126.950.612.51761.5350 tidak berpotensi tsunami 64 23/5/2013North of HalmaheraLaut305.14.12 128.5 62731.7115.8910.3249210.3267 tidak berpotensi tsunami 65 23/5/2013Celebes SeaLaut235.12.29 124.8 55.198.550.853.32932.8256 tidak berpotensi tsunami 66 24/5/2013Timor RegionLaut205 - 10.24124.31733.957.220.162381.1547 tidak berpotensi tsunami 67 25/5/2013Banda SeaLaut305.5-7.96 128.0 28899.951.230.731220.974 tidak berpotensi tsunami 68 26/5/2013Irian JayaDarat275-3.36 138.4 852190.828.680.616495.262 tidak berpotensi tsunami 69 27/5/2013South of JavaLaut305.1-9.58 107.4 241139.8821.980.85305518.6864berpotensi tsunami 70 28/5/2013SeramLaut305-2.8129.81076.521.931.581473.0666 tidak berpotensi tsunami 71 30/5/2013SeramLaut305.1-2.812842105.671.20.431260.5163 tidak berpotensi tsunami 72 30/5/2013Southwest of SumatraLaut305.1-3.9599.541488.7327.891.14245531.869berpotensi tsunami 73 5/6/2013Irian JayaDarat305.3-3.21 139.0 771123.611.073.431323.6976 tidak berpotensi tsunami 74 6/6/2013Banda SeaLaut305.3-6.86128.33051.60.850.35430.365 tidak berpotensi tsunami 75 13/6/2013South of JavaLaut306.6-9.96 107.2 210110.247.32.380416.8177berpotensi tsunami 76 14/6/2013South of JavaLaut115-9.87 107.3 21664.020.680.03430.0228 tidak berpotensi tsunami 77 14/6/2013South of JavaLaut305.39.98 107.2 81361.313.71.612255.9560 tidak berpotensi tsunami 78 14/6/2013South of JavaLaut265 - 10.81 113.8 93359.230.682.12401.4551 tidak berpotensi tsunami 79 16/6/2013SeramLaut305.1-2.29 129.0 71349.940.940.29460.2773 tidak berpotensi tsunami 80 18/6/2013Bali RegionLaut305.3-8.03 115.8 125357.2712.36572.3763 tidak berpotensi tsunami No.Tanggal Region Jumlah Stasiun Ma g Lat (S) Lon € Dept h Parameter Lama Perhitungan (s) Warning Area Lokas i Tdur (65) Td (10) T50Ex (1) Td*Tdur (650) Td*T50Ex (10)

29 81 22/6/2013Sumbawa RegionLaut305.2-8.44 116.0 41685.151.180.561000.6664 tidak berpotensi tsunami 82 25/6/2013Near North Coast of Irian JayaLaut305.1-2.39 140.2 71750.531.516.03759.1666 tidak berpotensi tsunami 83 25/6/2013Irian Jaya, IndonesiaLaut185.1-2.67 138.3 81071.571.710.371210.6330 tidak berpotensi tsunami 84 27/6/2013Southern Molucca SeaLaut305.8-0.27 125.1 556126.541.230.921551.1360 tidak berpotensi tsunami 85 27/6/2013HalmaheraLaut305.91.12 127.0 812364.981.146.567051.3462 tidak berpotensi tsunami 86 28/6/2013Sunda StraitLaut305-6.62 104.3 313106.871.510.391600.5864 tidak berpotensi tsunami 87 28/6/2013Minahasa PeninsulaLaut3051.47 123.0 71067.711.90.161270.354 tidak berpotensi tsunami 88 2/7/2013Northern SumatraLaut296.24.796.6110162.571.980.743221.4770 tidak berpotensi tsunami 89 2/7/2013Northern SumatraDarat305.44.6296.791090.041.960.861761.68171 tidak berpotensi tsunami 90 2/7/2013Northern SumatraDarat305.24.6296.8110119.461.810.692151.2471 tidak berpotensi tsunami 91 5/7/2013JavaLaut305.1-8.21 107.8 73850.160.680.4340.2764 tidak berpotensi tsunami 92 6/7/2013Southern SumatraLaut306.1-3.38 100.4 131133.122.070.912751.8877 tidak berpotensi tsunami 93 8/7/2013South of JavaLaut305.9-9.161131081.581.070.95871.0268 tidak berpotensi tsunami 94 9/7/2013Northern SumatraLaut275.22.1596.211588.181.020.24900.2461 tidak berpotensi tsunami 95 9/7/2013SeramLaut305-2.85 129.9 13774.2710.29740.2971 tidak berpotensi tsunami 96 10/7/2013Southern SumatraLaut305.4-3.39 100.3 822128.781.321.081691.4260 tidak berpotensi tsunami 97 10/7/2013Southern SumatraLaut305-3.4 100.2 42474.251.311.44971.8954 tidak berpotensi tsunami 98 14/7/2013 Aru Islands Region, Indonesia Laut305-5.55 133.8 33245.720.851.17380.9966 tidak berpotensi tsunami 99 14/7/2013Irian Jaya RegionDarat185.2-3.55 135.9 77281.380.640.54510.3441 tidak berpotensi tsunami 100 17/7/2013Northern SumatraLaut305.25.5298.0410119.611.470.621740.9168 tidak berpotensi tsunami No.Tanggal Region Jumlah Stasiun MagLat (S)Lon € Dept h Parameter Lama Perhitungan (s) Warning AreaLokasi Tdur (65) Td (10) T50Ex (1) Td*Tdur (650) Td*T50Ex (10)

30 101 17/7/2013North of HalmaheraLaut2353 128.6 71437.691.150.36420.4152 tidak berpotensi tsunami 102 18/7/2013Banda SeaLaut305.1-6.4 130.1 116675.551.120.69840.7763 tidak berpotensi tsunami 103 18/7/2013Sumbawa RegionLaut305.1-8.4 117.1 82290.610.670.79600.5363 tidak berpotensi tsunami 104 19/7/2013Near North Coast of Irian JayaLaut75.2-2.1 139.4 210100.340.750.79750.5927 tidak berpotensi tsunami 105 20/7/2013Irian Jaya RegionLaut175-1.63 136.7 81057.761.680.36950.664 tidak berpotensi tsunami 106 20/7/2013Irian Jaya, IndonesiaLaut305.3-2.3 138.4 61274.170.890.53650.4754 tidak berpotensi tsunami 107 20/7/2013Irian Jaya RegionDarat305.3-3.46 135.4 53694.460.720.98680.7157 tidak berpotensi tsunami 108 21/7/2013Irian Jaya RegionDarat305.5-3.53 135.4 235108.030.680.32730.2173 tidak berpotensi tsunami 109 23/7/2013Talaud IslandsLaut3052.62 125.6 7151982.862.252806.4367 tidak berpotensi tsunami 110 25/7/2013Southern SumatraLaut305.1-3.52101.55452.690.650.59340.3867 tidak berpotensi tsunami 111 27/7/2013South of JavaLaut305.1 - 10.16 107.3 11039.781.071.11421.1969 tidak berpotensi tsunami 112 28/7/2013Tanimbar Islands RegionLaut305.3-6.95 131.8 51889.481.160.451030.5263 tidak berpotensi tsunami 113 1/8/2013Banda SeaLaut305.2-7.07 123.7 961856.341.390.09780.1268 tidak berpotensi tsunami 114 3/8/2013North of HalmaheraLaut1753.33 128.7 45141.920.470.74190.3545 tidak berpotensi tsunami 115 5/8/2013HalmaheraLaut3051.48 127.1 910348.753.910.311871.2163 tidak berpotensi tsunami 116 7/8/2013SulawesiLaut305-1.34 120.9 510102.920.881.4901.2467 tidak berpotensi tsunami 117 8/8/2013Near North Coast of Irian JayaDarat305-2.41 140.1 749128.152.091.032672.1568 tidak berpotensi tsunami 118 8/8/2013SeramLaut305-3.09 130.7 11757.461.390.42790.5874 tidak berpotensi tsunami 119 8/8/2013JavaLaut305.4-8.86 110.8 72672.020.910.75650.6862 tidak berpotensi tsunami 120 8/8/2013Minahassa Peninsula, SulawesiLaut305.1-0.47 123.7 1627114.350.7101910.0560berpotensi tsunami No.Tanggal Region Jumlah Stasiun MagLat (S)Lon € Dept h Parameter Lama Perhitungan (s) Warning AreaLokasi Tdur (65) Td (10) T50Ex (1) Td*Tdur (650) Td*T50Ex (10)

31 121 10/8/2013Banda SeaLaut305.1-6.91 130.0 4107126.290.821.071040.8868 tidak berpotensi tsunami 122 12/8/2013Banda SeaLaut306.4-7.28 129.8 410352.751.70.79881.3468 tidak berpotensi tsunami 123 15/8/2013Minahassa Peninsula, SulawesiLaut305.1-0.01 123.2 3151129.470.742.89962.1666 tidak berpotensi tsunami 124 16/8/2013Bali SeaLaut305.4-7.91 117.1 928879.0327.194.682148127.2967berpotensi tsunami 125 16/8/2013Minahassa Peninsula, SulawesiLaut305-0.88 121.5 414108.371.380.261490.3560 tidak berpotensi tsunami 126 17/8/2013Northern Sumatra, IndonesiaLaut305.15.3594.2238126.061.430.561800.861 tidak berpotensi tsunami 127 17/8/2013Near North Coast of Irian JayaLaut305.3-1.91 139.2 31734.31.221.63411.9970 tidak berpotensi tsunami 128 19/8/2013Mindanao, PhilippinesLaut305.15.43 126.2 52375.941.10.51830.5663 tidak berpotensi tsunami 129 23/8/2013South of BaliLaut305.3 - 10.59114.231105.450.462.28481.0465 tidak berpotensi tsunami 130 23/8/2013Java SeaLaut305.1-5.92 115.9 81693.10.610.83570.5151 tidak berpotensi tsunami 131 23/8/2013Southern SumatraLaut305.2-5 102.8 56199.41.10.741090.8168 tidak berpotensi tsunami 132 24/8/2013Southern SumatraDarat305-3.2 102.0 712229.70.580.17160.0965 tidak berpotensi tsunami 133 25/8/2013 Off West Coast of Northern SumatraLaut305.31.1995.921074.290.850.54630.4661 tidak berpotensi tsunami 134 28/8/2013Southern SumatraLaut305.3-2.03 100.6 95690.080.833.51742.9167 tidak berpotensi tsunami 135 30/8/2013Java, IndonesiaLaut305.2-6.28 113.1 4590108.380.640.45690.2867 tidak berpotensi tsunami 136 1/9/2013Irian Jaya Region, IndonesiaLaut305-4.36 133.8 78588.421.480.641300.9471 tidak berpotensi tsunami 137 1/9/2013Banda SeaLaut306.4-7.67 128.3 1136100.611.981.391982.7565 tidak berpotensi tsunami 138 4/9/2013Mindanao, PhilippinesLaut305.35.36 125.8 912963.471.011.04631.0566 tidak berpotensi tsunami 139 7/9/2013Banda SeaLaut305.7-6.56 130.4 213278.220.880.81680.7169 tidak berpotensi tsunami 140 10/9/2013Minahassa Peninsula, SulawesiLaut305.31.45 122.3 540106.11.131.111191.2569 tidak berpotensi tsunami No.Tanggal Region Jumlah Stasiun MagLat (S)Lon € Dept h Parameter Lama Perhitungan (s) Warning AreaLokasi Tdur (65) Td (10) T50Ex (1) Td*Tdur (650) Td*T50Ex (10)

32 141 10/9/2013Minahassa Peninsula, SulawesiLaut305.11.45 122.3 921124.381.411.151751.6366 tidak berpotensi tsunami 142 12/9/2013Banda SeaLaut305.1-7.61 128.3 7171172.311.191.72052.0365 tidak berpotensi tsunami 143 13/9/2013HalmaheraLaut305.1-1.05 127.1 31151.923.60.231830.8264 tidak berpotensi tsunami 144 15/9/2013SeramLaut305.1-2.78 129.5 34058.221.370.26790.3564 tidak berpotensi tsunami 145 17/9/2013Banda SeaLaut305.2-7.61 128.4 8141198.811.891.363752.5767 tidak berpotensi tsunami 146 20/9/2013Northern Molucca SeaLaut3052.23 127.0 58861.311.020.62620.6371 tidak berpotensi tsunami 147 21/9/2013Flores SeaLaut305.7-7.35 119.9 953852.960.960.13500.1266 tidak berpotensi tsunami 148 22/9/2013Northern SumatraLaut2655.194.153891.110.880.23800.252 tidak berpotensi tsunami 149 23/9/2013Southern Molucca SeaLaut305.1-0.8 124.9 36457.20.460.53260.2465 tidak berpotensi tsunami 150 23/9/2013South of BaliLaut305.3 - 10.01 115.9 35564.740.580.77370.4560 tidak berpotensi tsunami 151 28/9/2013Irian Jaya Region, IndonesiaLaut255-1.47 133.6 21347.646.10.232871.461 tidak berpotensi tsunami 152 29/9/2013Banda SeaLaut305.1-6.69 129.8 915475.831.030.58770.5969 tidak berpotensi tsunami 153 29/9/2013Sulawesi, IndonesiaLaut305-2.34 119.2 41459.740.99 580.9861 tidak berpotensi tsunami 154 2/10/2013Near North Coast of Irian JayaLaut305.1-2.22 139.3 430110.962.10.762311.5969 tidak berpotensi tsunami 155 4/10/2013Halmahera, IndonesiaLaut305.11.76 128.3 96141.391.040.21420.2166 tidak berpotensi tsunami 156 5/10/2013Java, IndonesiaLaut305-8.91 112.4 93453.640.530.98280.5250 tidak berpotensi tsunami 157 11/10/2013HalmaheraLaut305.2-0.51 127.1 872128.70.972.05125257 tidak berpotensi tsunami 158 11/10/2013Seram, IndonesiaLaut285.3-3.58 128.3 21044.731.120.32490.3557 tidak berpotensi tsunami 159 11/10/2013 Southwest of Sumatra, IndonesiaLaut305-6.06 102.8 539128.811.750.892241.5670 tidak berpotensi tsunami 160 12/10/2013Minahassa Peninsula, SulawesiLaut305.80.73 122.1 88572.011.12.84793.1368 tidak berpotensi tsunami No.Tanggal Region Jumlah Stasiun MagLat (S)Lon € Dept h Parameter Lama Perhitungan (s) Warning AreaLokasi Tdur (65) Td (10) T50Ex (1) Td*Tdur (650) Td*T50Ex (10)

33 161 14/10/2013 Off West Coast of Northern SumatraLaut305.43.995.8656115.610.970.711120.6967 tidak berpotensi tsunami 162 22/10/2013Northern Sumatra, IndonesiaDarat265.45.0295.8910164.041.220.492000.660 tidak berpotensi tsunami 163 26/10/2013Banda SeaLaut305.1-7.23 129.7 8140118.040.550.44650.2452 tidak berpotensi tsunami 164 27/10/2013Banda SeaLaut305-6.39 130.3 812086.952.160.731851.5750 tidak berpotensi tsunami 165 29/10/2013Talaud Islands, IndonesiaLaut305.34.28 126.2 99153.8843.560.24230810.4565berpotensi tsunami 166 31/10/2013Sumba Region, IndonesiaLaut305.1-9.08 119.6 31178.8910.53780.5350 tidak berpotensi tsunami 167 3/11/2013JavaLaut305.2-8.22 107.8 81080.30.580.93470.5471 tidak berpotensi tsunami 168 3/11/2013Celebes SeaLaut305.94.58123.454334.471.140.26390.2949 tidak berpotensi tsunami 169 5/11/2013Talaud Islands, IndonesiaLaut305.14.25 126.4 54041.120.720.2629 656 tidak berpotensi tsunami 170 7/11/2013Near North Coast of Irian JayaLaut305.2-1.71 138.7 72089.071.960.531751.0475 tidak berpotensi tsunami 171 8/11/2013Talaud Islands, IndonesiaLaut3054.14 126.5 45647.060.890.36420.3250 tidak berpotensi tsunami No.Tanggal Region Jumlah Stasiun MagLat (S)Lon € Dept h Parameter Lama Perhitungan (s) Warning AreaLokasi Tdur (65) Td (10) T50Ex (1) Td*Tdur (650) Td*T50Ex (10)

34 Seismogram broadband vertical (raw data) HF Filtered bandpass 1 - 5 Hz (Tele) HF Filtered bandpass 5 - 20 Hz (Local ) Calculate RMS amplitudo 90%,80%,50% dan 20% Picking P wave travel time Measure time delay Amp. 90%,80%,50% dan 20% Calculate rupture duration (Tdur) Rupture Duration Estimation Method Plot rupture duration T90%<Tdur<T20%? YA TIDAK 34 Tdur = (1-w) T90% +w T20%. w = [(T80%+T50%)/2 – 20]/40 s (Lomax and Micellini,2010)

35 (Wu and Kanamori, 2005;Lomax and Michelini, 2011) Time Domain ( ) dan Dominant Period (Td) Gelombang P Td merupakan nilai puncak dari