The Art of Fibonacci Trading

Presentasi berjudul: "The Art of Fibonacci Trading"— Transcript presentasi:

1 The Art of Fibonacci Trading
The Art of Fibonacci Trading Presented by Aditya The Art of Fibonacci Trading

2 1. The Miracle 2. The Psychology of Golden Ratio 3
1. The Miracle 2. The Psychology of Golden Ratio 3. fibonacci retracement 4. Fibonacci expansion 5. Retracement Vs Expansion 6. The power of Basic of Elliot Wave Analysis 8. Aplying Elliot Wave Analysis & Fibonacci 9. Entry & Exit Rules 10. Identifying Divergence. 11. Aplying divergence, fibonacci & wave analysis

3 Special Thanks to: Mr. Mochammad Yusuf (Chairman Asosiasi Analis Teknikal Indonesia) Mr. Imran S. Dalimi Mr. Cornelius Luca (Market Technician Association)

4 Percentage retracements
All trends are subject to price retracements and reversals. Trend analysis should help you identify trend reversals.

5 Bullish Trend Dikatakan Bullish jika harga membentuk pola HH (higher high) dan HL (Higher Low) dimana harga selalu membuat new high. Jika terjadi koreksi/penurunan tidak pernah melampaui harga low dari koreksi sebelumnya

6 Bullish Trend HH HL

7 Bullish Reversal Point
HH LH LL HL Reversal Point Note: Reversal point ketika harga menembus trough sebelumnya

8 Bearish Trend Dikatakan Bearish jika harga membentuk pola LH (Lower High) dan LL (Lower low) dimana harga selalu membuat new Low. Jika terjadi koreksi/Kenaikan tidak pernah melampaui harga high dari koreksi sebelumnya

9 Bearish Trend LH LH LL LH LH LL LL LL LL

10 Bearish Reversal Point
LL HL LH HH Reversal Point Note: Reversal point ketika harga menembus peak sebelumnya

11 Sideways HH HL Kondisi sideways biasanya ditandai dengan terbentunknya “Chart Pattern”

12 Fibonacci Ratio 233/144 = 1,618 377/233 = 1,618 610/377 = 1,618
Angka Fibonacci: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, …. Didapat dari menjumlahkan 2 bilangan sebelumnya Golden Ratio (1.618) didapat dengan membagi angka setelah deret ke 13 dengan angka sebelumnya 233/144 = 1,618 377/233 = 1,618 610/377 = 1,618

13 Fibonacci Sequence and Ratio
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, (etc.) 55 13

14 Golden Ratio

15 Retracement Analysis Obvious Not obvious

16 Percentage retracements
Fibonacci ratios .146 = (-3√5 + 7)/2 .236 = (or .618*.382) .382 .5 (not really) .618 .786 = √.618 .854

17 Fibonacci Retracement
Sell Jika Market Bearish angka 0 ditempatkan di Low dan angka 100 ditempatkan di harga High. Posisi yang diambil adalah sell ketika menyentuh retracement 2/3 atau 66

18 Fibonacci Retracement
Buy Jika Market bullish angka 0 ditempatkan di high dan angka 100 ditempatkan di harga low Posisi yang diambil adalah sell ketika menyentuh retracement 2/3 atau 66

19 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

20 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

21 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

22 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

23 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

24 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

25 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Townsend Analytics Ltd.

26 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Townsend Analytics Ltd.

27 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

28 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

29 Applying Fibonacci Notice not exact prices… support becomes resistance when broken Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

30 Golden ratios of multiple moves
The retracements of an initial trend remain in effect for as long as the original high and low remain in effect.

31 Fibonacci retracements (monthly)

32 Fibonacci retracements (weekly)

33 Fibonacci retracements (daily)

34 Fibonacci retracements (hourly)

35 Multiple Fibonacci retracements

36 Extensions When a rebound from retracement of a previous
trend exceeds the previous high (in an uptrend) or low (in a downtrend), erase the old retracements and apply extensions.

37 Extensions Retracement ratios are equally valued for targeting prices on extensions. In the case of the Gann ratios, the extensions will be placed at: 1.125, 1.25, 1.375, 1.5, 1.625, 1.75 and In the case of the Fibonacci ratios, the extensions will be placed at: 1.382, 1.5 and

38 Extensions – USD/BRL

39 Extensions

40 Extensions

41 Extensions

42 Fibonacci Multipliers
Fibonacci divisions are divisions of 1. Fibonacci expansions are Fibonacci ratios, which when multiplied equal 1. .236 * 4.236 .382 * 2.618 .5 * 2 .618 * 1.618 .764 * 1.309

43 Fibonacci Multipliers Application
Assume B-A = .382 Multiplier of .382 = 2.618 If B-A = 100 points, then the target becomes 261.8 Add to A The target is very aggressive B A

44 Fibonacci Multipliers Example

45 Extend in the Direction of Trend

46 Fibonacci Multipliers
Primary Ratios # * 1.618 # * 2.618 Secondary Ratios # * 1.309 # * 2 # * 4.236

47 Extend Retracement from Pullback
C to D = (B – A) *.618 or 1 or 1.618 Long-term targets A C D B B D C A

48 Extend Retracement from Pullback

49 Fibonacci Multipliers
Primary Ratios # * 1.309 # * 2 # * 4.236 Secondary Ratios # * 0.382 # * 0.5 # * 2.618 # * 4.236

50 Fibonacci Time Extensions

51 Fibonacci Time Extensions

52 Fibonacci Time Extensions

53 The power of retracement 2/3 (Bullish)

54 The power of retracement 2/3 (Bearish)
Skenario: Sell 1 lot di retracement 66. Sell double cover (2lot) di Retracement 100 1 lot di likuidasi di retracement 66 1 lot di hold sampai retracement 0 (Take profit