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The Art of Fibonacci Trading The Art of Fibonacci Trading Presented by Aditya www.trend-traders.com.

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Presentasi berjudul: "The Art of Fibonacci Trading The Art of Fibonacci Trading Presented by Aditya www.trend-traders.com."— Transcript presentasi:

1 The Art of Fibonacci Trading The Art of Fibonacci Trading Presented by Aditya

2 1. The Miracle 2. The Psychology of Golden Ratio 3. fibonacci retracement 4. Fibonacci expansion 5. Retracement Vs Expansion 6. The power of Basic of Elliot Wave Analysis 8. Aplying Elliot Wave Analysis & Fibonacci 9. Entry & Exit Rules 10. Identifying Divergence. 11. Aplying divergence, fibonacci & wave analysis

3 Special Thanks to: Mr. Mochammad Yusuf (Chairman Asosiasi Analis Teknikal Indonesia) Mr. Imran S. Dalimi Mr. Cornelius Luca (Market Technician Association)

4 Percentage retracements All trends are subject to price retracements and reversals. Trend analysis should help you identify trend reversals.

5 Bullish Trend -Dikatakan Bullish jika harga membentuk pola HH (higher high) dan HL (Higher Low) dimana harga selalu membuat new high. Jika terjadi koreksi/penurunan tidak pernah melampaui harga low dari koreksi sebelumnya

6 Bullish Trend HH HL

7 Bullish Reversal Point HH LH LL HL LL Reversal Point Note: Reversal point ketika harga menembus trough sebelumnya

8 Bearish Trend -Dikatakan Bearish jika harga membentuk pola LH (Lower High) dan LL (Lower low) dimana harga selalu membuat new Low. Jika terjadi koreksi/Kenaikan tidak pernah melampaui harga high dari koreksi sebelumnya

9 Bearish Trend LH LL

10 Bearish Reversal Point LL HL LH HH Reversal Point Note: Reversal point ketika harga menembus peak sebelumnya

11 Sideways HH HL Kondisi sideways biasanya ditandai dengan terbentunknya “Chart Pattern”

12 Fibonacci Ratio Angka Fibonacci: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, …. Didapat dari menjumlahkan 2 bilangan sebelumnya Golden Ratio (1.618) didapat dengan membagi angka setelah deret ke 13 dengan angka sebelumnya 233/144 = 1, /233 = 1, /377 = 1,618

13 Fibonacci Sequence and Ratio 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, (etc.)

14 Golden Ratio

15 Retracement Analysis ObviousNot obvious

16 Percentage retracements Fibonacci ratios.146 = (-3√5 + 7)/2.236 = (or.618*.382) (not really) = √

17 Fibonacci Retracement Jika Market Bearish angka 0 ditempatkan di Low dan angka 100 ditempatkan di harga High. Posisi yang diambil adalah sell ketika menyentuh retracement 2/3 atau 66 Sell

18 Fibonacci Retracement Jika Market bullish angka 0 ditempatkan di high dan angka 100 ditempatkan di harga low Posisi yang diambil adalah sell ketika menyentuh retracement 2/3 atau 66 Buy

19 Applying Fibonacci Chart © 2008 Finance Chart

20 Applying Fibonacci

21 Chart © 2008 Finance Chart Applying Fibonacci

22 Chart © 2008 Finance Chart Applying Fibonacci

23 Chart © 2008 Finance Chart Applying Fibonacci

24 Chart © 2008 Finance Chart Applying Fibonacci

25 Chart © 2008 Townsend Analytics Ltd. Applying Fibonacci

26 Chart © 2008 Townsend Analytics Ltd. Applying Fibonacci

27 Chart © 2008 Finance Chart Applying Fibonacci

28 Chart © 2008 Finance Chart Applying Fibonacci

29 Chart © 2008 Finance Chart Applying Fibonacci

30 Golden ratios of multiple moves The retracements of an initial trend remain in effect for as long as the original high and low remain in effect.

31 Fibonacci retracements (monthly)

32 Fibonacci retracements (weekly)

33 Fibonacci retracements (daily)

34 Fibonacci retracements (hourly)

35 Multiple Fibonacci retracements

36 Extensions When a rebound from retracement of a previous trend exceeds the previous high (in an uptrend) or low (in a downtrend), erase the old retracements and apply extensions.

37 Retracement ratios are equally valued for targeting prices on extensions. In the case of the Gann ratios, the extensions will be placed at: 1.125, 1.25, 1.375, 1.5, 1.625, 1.75 and In the case of the Fibonacci ratios, the extensions will be placed at: 1.382, 1.5 and Extensions

38 Extensions – USD/BRL

39 Extensions

40

41

42 Fibonacci Multipliers Fibonacci divisions are divisions of 1. Fibonacci expansions are Fibonacci ratios, which when multiplied equal 1. –.236 * –.382 * –.5 * 2 –.618 * –.764 * 1.309

43 Fibonacci Multipliers Application Assume B-A =.382 Multiplier of.382 = If B-A = 100 points, then the target becomes Add to A The target is very aggressive B C A

44 Fibonacci Multipliers Example

45 Extend in the Direction of Trend

46 Fibonacci Multipliers Primary Ratios –# * –# * Secondary Ratios –# * –# * 2 –# * 4.236

47 Extend Retracement from Pullback C to D = (B – A) *.618 or 1 or Long-term targets A A B B D D C C

48 Extend Retracement from Pullback

49 Fibonacci Multipliers Primary Ratios –# * –# * 2 –# * Secondary Ratios –# * –# * 0.5 –# * –# * 4.236

50 Fibonacci Time Extensions

51

52

53 The power of retracement 2/3 (Bullish)

54 The power of retracement 2/3 (Bearish) Skenario: Sell 1 lot di retracement 66. Sell double cover (2lot) di Retracement lot di likuidasi di retracement 66 1 lot di hold sampai retracement 0 (Take profit


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