Presentasi 3: Pembelajaran Adaptasi Fokus: pilot project di Pulau Lombok

Penyusunan “INDONESIA COUNTRY REPORT: CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CLIMATE CHANGES, AND THEIR IMPLICATION” Penyusunan Dok RAN-PI Kajian VA di pulau kecil (Pulau Lombok)

Penyusunan “INDONESIA COUNTRY REPORT: CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CLIMATE CHANGES, AND THEIR IMPLICATION”

Penyusunan dok ran-pi

RAN-PI Tujuan: RAN-PI merupakan pedoman bagi instansi/lembaga terkait dalam melaksanakan upaya yang sistematik dan terkoordinasi/terintegrasi untuk mitigasi dan adaptasi terhadap perubahan iklim. Sifat: Dinamis; dokumen RAN-PI perlu dievaluasi secara berkala guna menyesuaikan dengan dinamika perubahan iklim.

Strategi Pembangunan Nasional Dalam Antisipasi Perubahan Iklim Strategi tiga jalur (triple track strategy), yakni pro-poor, pro-job, dan pro-growth yang berbasiskan pada prinsip pro-environment. Agenda Mitigasi: Program pembangunan harus secara tegas mengacu juga pada sasaran-sasaran reduksi emisi gas rumah kaca dan intensitas energi dari pertumbuhan ekonomi. Agenda Adaptasi: Mengembangkan pola pembangunan yang tahan terhadap dampak perubahan iklim dan gangguan anomali cuaca yang terjadi saat ini dan antisipasi dampaknya ke depan. 6

Prinsip Pembangunan Nasional Dalam Antisipasi Perubahan Iklim Penyelarasan semua instrumen kebijakan dan hukum Integrasi dan penyelarasan penggunaan ruang beserta penggunaan sumber-sumber-daya publik Penyesuaian pola konsumsi dan produksi berkelanjutan Integrasi setiap sasaran mitigasi dan adaptasi dengan aspek-aspek sosial budaya 7

Strategic challenges Capability improvement on climate/ weather prediction and establisment of information flow mechanism that lead to increased communities’ adaptive capacity and proactive attitude in reducing climate risks. “ Robust V&A assessments are needed to enable more informed adaptation planning and policy decision“

Challenging research activities Increase our understanding on: (regional ) variations, including those caused by non-uniform patterns of temperature and salinity changes in the ocean. Effect of large-scale water extraction or compaction of peatlands to SLR; Development of various methods and tools, including regional climate models, that appropriate for application in different conditions in Indonesia;

challenges More research/ assessment on Socio-economic analysis Understanding more on how and to what extent rainfall contribute to slope movement Projections for future El Niño variability and the state of the Pacific Ocean for regional climate change projections throughout the tropics and in North America

Kajian VA di pulau kecil (Pulau Lombok) Pilot Project Kajian VA di pulau kecil (Pulau Lombok)

Tujuan Utama: Mexplorasi sensitivitas thd cuaca ektrim saat ini To better understand sensitivities to future climate change Expert judgement Future scenarios + impacts models source: IGBP Seminar 2000 “Global Change – Biophysical and Socio-economic impact” in Jean P. Palutikof, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, U

Bagaimana tujuan tsb dapat dicapai? Melalui pengembangan model2 statistik dari dampak ekstrim saat ini pada ‘time series’ aktivitas Melalaui kuesioner kpd masyarakat umum Melalui kuesioner kpd manajemen

Aspek manajemen

Bagaimana V&A assessments dilaksanakan? Pertama, berkumpul bersama… 1.1 Appoint the V&A Team Leader (TL) Task Person(s) in charge Input(s) National Co-ordinator (NC) List of national V&A experts TL with clearly defined ToRs Output(s) 1.2 Establish the V&A Team NC + TL V&A team with clearly defined ToRs Brainstorming; consultation 1.3 Identify stakeholders V&A team led by the TL, in consultation with NC Stakeholder group with clearly defined roles and means to stay engaged

Bagaimana V&A assessments dilaksanakan? Lalu, rancang suatu rencana… 2.1 Defining the objectives of the V&A studies Task Person(s) in charge Input(s) V&A team + stakeholders, led by TL and NC Clearly defined objective(s) with outcomes and indicators Output(s) 2.2 Specifying the scope of studies [spatial and temporal scales, sectoral coverage, etc.] Clearly defined parameters of the V&A studies Overall SNC work plan; Inventory of data/information, expertise requirement and availability; V&A team led by the TL, consulting NC and key stakeholders Work plan with clear description of activities, outputs/deliverables, lead person(s), timeline INC; Relevant CC impacts literature; National development strategies; review meetings; etc. 2.3 Developing a work plan