Manajemen Proyek Kusmayadi@unindra2013

Pertemuan 10 memahami proses perencanaan proyek khususnya pada area pengetahuan manajemen risiko dalam proyek (Project Risk Management)

Variable Tingkat Interaksi Grup Proses Variable Tingkat Interaksi Inisialisasi Perencanaan Eksekusi Monitor dan Kontrol Penutupan Variable Waktu Awal Akhir

9 Area Pengetahuan 7

Risk Management Tujuan Menurunkan kemungkinan dan dampak negatif Meningkatkan kemungkinan dan dampak positif

Risiko ?

Intisari PM (PG vs KA) Plan Risk Management Identify Risks Perform Qualitatif Risk Analysis Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis Plan Risk Responses Minitor and Control Risks Close Procurement s Administer Procurements Conduct Procurements Plan Procurement 9. Project Procurement Management Monitor and Control Risks Plan Risk Management, Identify Risks Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis Plan Risk Responses 8. Project Risk Management Report Performance Distribution Information Manage Stakeholder Expectations Plan Communications Identify Stakeholder 7. Project Communication Mgm Acquire Project Team Develop Project Team Manage Project Team Develop Human Resource Plan 6. Project Human Resource Management Perform Quality Control Perform Quality Assurance Plan Quality 5. Project Quality Mgm Control Costs Estimate Cost Determine Budget 4. Project Cost Management Schedule Control Defince Activities Sequence Activities Estimate Activity Resources Estimate Activity Durations Develop Schedule 3. Project Time Management Scope Verification Scope Control Collect Requirement Define Scope Create WBS 2. Project Scope Management Close Project or Phase Monitor and control Project work Integrated Change Control Direct and Manage Project Execution Develop Project Management Plan Develop Project Charter 1. Project Integration Management 5. Penutupa n 4. Monitor & Kontrol 3. Eksekusi 2. Perencanaan 1. Inisialisasi PG/KA

Risiko Proyek Risiko selalu berada di masa yang akan datang. Risiko adalah kejadian atau kondisi yang tidak pasti yang keberadaannya berdampak paling tidak terhadap salah satu tujuan proyek. Contoh : dampak terhadap scope, time, cost, quality

Risiko Proyek Penyebabnya bisa berupa : Requirement Asumsi Batasan Kondisi

Risiko Proyek Risk Tolerant : Organisasi atau stakeholder dapat menerima derajat risiko proyek. Langsung terjun ke proyek tanpa mengelola kemungkinan risiko meningkatkan potensi kegagalan proyek

1. Plan Risk Management Proses mengidentifikasikan bagaimana melakukan aktivitas pengelolaan risiko project

Plan Risk Management Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs Planning meetings and analysis Outputs Project scope statement Cost management plan Schedule management plan Communication management plan EEF OPA Risk management plan

Output : Risk Management Plan Methodology Peran dan tanggung jawab Budgeting Timing Kategori risiko Definisi kemungkinan risiko dan dampaknya Matriks kemungkinan dan dampak Stakeholder tolerant Format laporan Tracking

2. Identify Risks Proses mempelajari risiko mana yang mungkin perpengaruh terhadap project dan mendokumentasikan karakteristik risiko tersebut

Identify Risk Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs Document reviews Information gathering techniques Checklist analysis Assumption analysis Diagramming techniques SWOT analysis Expert judgment Outputs Risk management plan Activity cost estimates Scope baseline Stakeholder register Cost management plan Quality management plan Project document s EF OPA Risk register

SWOT Analysis Strenghts Weakness Opportunities Threats

3. Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis Proses menyusun prioritas risiko untuk dianalisa lebih lanjut atau aksi apa yang harus dilakukan dengan menimbang kemungkinan kejadian dan dampaknya

Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis Inputs Tools & Techniques Risk probability and impact assessment Probability and impact matrix Risk data quality assessment Risk categoriiztion Risk urgency assessment Expert judgment Outputs Risk register Risk management plan Project scope statement OPA Risk register Update

4. Perform Quantitave Risk Analysis Proses menganalisa dampak dari risiko yang telah teridentifikasi terhadap tujuan keseluruhan proyek

Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis Inputs Tools & Techniques Data gathering and representation techique Quantitative risk analysis and modeling techniques Expert judgment Outputs Risk register Risk management plan Cost management plan Shedule management plan OPA Risk register Updates

5. Plan Risks Responses Proses membangun pilihan dan aksi untuk meningkatkan kesempatan dan menurunkan ancaman terhadap tujuan proyek

Plan Risks Responses Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs Strategy for negative risks or threats Strategy for positive risks or opportinities Contigency response strategy Expert judgment Outputs Risk register Risk management plan Risk register Update Risk-related contract decision Project management plan updates Project document updates

Strategi untuk risiko negatif Avoid Transfer Mitigate Accept

Strategi untuk risiko positif Exploit Share Enhace Accept

Kesimpulan Project Risk Management khususnya pada tahap perencanaan proyek : Plan Risk Management Identif Risks Perform Qualitatif Risk Analysis Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis Plan Risk Responses

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