Aspek Sosial Ekonomi pada preservasi dan pemeliharaan aset Nigel Rockliffe Arif Wismadi.

Presentasi berjudul: "Aspek Sosial Ekonomi pada preservasi dan pemeliharaan aset Nigel Rockliffe Arif Wismadi."— Transcript presentasi:

1 Aspek Sosial Ekonomi pada preservasi dan pemeliharaan aset Nigel Rockliffe Arif Wismadi

2 2 Tujuan 1.Suatu proyek percontohan untuk ‘pengembangan dan pemeliharaan suatu kebijakan uji coba yang komprehensif dan [PPB] prosedur dan perangkat... dan untuk menyediakan dan mengkoordinasikan dukungan dalam pelatihan dan penyebarluasan semua kegiatan. " 2.Suatu strategi 'sosialisasi' untuk mempromosikan penerapan sikap budaya dan norma mengenai pentingnya pemeliharaan jalan. 3.Mendukung sosialisasi manfaat pemeliharaan dan preservasi jalan, berdasarkan implikasi biaya siklus umur rencana jalan..... untuk mendukung tujuan pembangunan nasional dan regional

3 3 Part 1 Roads in service

4 4 The Goldilocks principle

5 5 Hailan Haiwe, PNG 0 – Minimum 1 – High repairs 2 – Scheduled seal + high 3 – KRGMP pre-emptive 4 – KRGMP pre-emptive + shape 5 – Min + structural overlay 0 – Minimum 1 – High repairs 2 – Scheduled seal + high 3 – KRGMP pre-emptive 4 – KRGMP pre-emptive + shape 5 – Min + structural overlay

6 6 Treatment options 1 Minimum repairs 2 Intermediate repairs 3 High repairs 4 Pre-emptive repairs 5 Pre-emptive and periodic 6 Pre-emptive and full menu 7 Business as usual (national) 8 Business as usual (provincial) 9 Pre-emptive and modified full menu

7 7 Comparing treatment options Undertaking major works saves money in the long run. Optimal option is ‘Full-pre- emptive’. Undertaking major works saves money in the long run. Optimal option is ‘Full-pre- emptive’.

8 Two kinds of efficiency TTC RAC RUC Cost Level of service Technical efficiency Allocative efficiency Better ride quality Where we are now Where we want to be Maximise technical efficiency. Maximise allocative efficiency by... trading off RUCs and RACs to minimise total transport cost. This is the optimal level of service. Maximise technical efficiency. Maximise allocative efficiency by... trading off RUCs and RACs to minimise total transport cost. This is the optimal level of service.

9 9 Roads in service A stitch in time saves nine

10 10 It pays to be on time Conducting repairs promptly is often win-win. Even when it’s win-lose, it’s beneficial overall. So road users can pay for it and still be ahead. It reduces costs for road users and the road agency alike. Conducting repairs promptly is often win-win. Even when it’s win-lose, it’s beneficial overall. So road users can pay for it and still be ahead. It reduces costs for road users and the road agency alike.

11 How routine maintenance affects defects Area affected by defects (%) Age of pavement Poor maintenance Good maintenance Once they start, defects grow explosively. Good routine maintenance can delay their onset. Once they start, defects grow explosively. Good routine maintenance can delay their onset.

12 How routine maintenance affects roughness Roughness Age of pavement As defects grow, roughness rises, which increases vehicle operating cost travel time discomfort. Good routine maintenance keeps pavements smoother longer. As defects grow, roughness rises, which increases vehicle operating cost travel time discomfort. Good routine maintenance keeps pavements smoother longer. Poor maintenance Good maintenance

13 All maintenance must be timely Life-cycle cost Age of pavement Routine  Periodic Routine Periodic Routine  Periodic  Routine Periodic  Policy space Both routine and periodic maintenance must be on time. If either is late, RUC and RAC are higher than they need be. Prompt routine maintenance extends road life and requires less frequent periodic maintenance. Both routine and periodic maintenance must be on time. If either is late, RUC and RAC are higher than they need be. Prompt routine maintenance extends road life and requires less frequent periodic maintenance.

14 14 Jalan dalam pelayanan Ambillah Pesan 1.Goldilocks menunjukkan bahwa melaksanakan ‘major works’ akan menyelamatkan uang dalam jangka lama ke depan. 2.Pemeliharaan yang tepat dancepat adalah ‘win-win’ : tindakan ini dapat mengurangi biaya pengguna jalan maupun yang harus dipikul oleh pemerintah.

15 15 Part 2 Roads in crisis

16 16 Roads in crisis A little goes a long way

17 17 The demand for trips Source: Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) Exponent is ‘price elasticity of demand’ and measures responsiveness of travel to changes in price. ↓ ↙ Distance is a proxy for price. Demand is relatively inelastic (– 0.46), typical of a ‘necessary’ good like healthcare. ‘Discretionary’ trips, such as VFR, are expected to be far more price-elastic. Exponent is ‘price elasticity of demand’ and measures responsiveness of travel to changes in price. ↓ ↙ Distance is a proxy for price. Demand for Puskesmas trips is relatively inelastic (–0.5), typical of a ‘necessary’ good like healthcare. ‘Discretionary’ trips, such as VFR, are expected to be far more price-elastic.

18 18 Benefit Social benefit Outcomes Health Morbidity Mortality Life expectancy Education Attendance Attainment Income Poverty rate Surat k. miskin Other Inputs, outputs, outcomes and benefit Outputs ‘Consumption’ of trips Demand curve Distance to destination Road condition ‘Price’ of trip Inputs

19 19 The social benefit of trips Price Trips per person Partial access Full access No motorable access

20 20 No motorable access Partial access (95% of time) A little maintenance goes a long way Benefit Cost Marginal benefit Total benefit Partial access (99% of time) Full access

21 21 Roads in crisis Roads are good for people

22 22 Poor roads are linked to poverty... Sealed roads are associated with ←fewer households in poverty... ↓and fewer surat keterangan miskin. But... Poverty is not all attributable to road condition; other facilities must change too. Causality is not one-way: the poor may lack good roads for other reasons. Source: Potensi Desa (Podes)

23 23... and to poor health ←Sealed roads are associated with greatly reduced mortality. But is this because they are nearer to medical facilities (Puskesmas)?→ Source: Potensi Desa (Podes)

24 24 Jalan dalam krisis PESAN UNTUK DIBAWAH PULANG 1.Suatu pemeliharaan jalan lebih ilaksanakan secara menyeluruh dan terpadu dari pada dilaksanakan secara sepotong-sepotong. 2.Penetapan kebutuhan perjalanan adalah hal yang penting yang dapat mempermudah perhitungan manfaat sosial, yang akan mengarah pada perhitungan kebutuhan sumber daya. 3.Ada hubungan antara kondisi jalan dengan kesejahteraan masyarakat

25 25 Thank you